Doha: Vague words & fuzzy numbers

The 2012 climate negotiations under the UNFCCC and its Kyoto Protocol did not quite die in the desert sands of Doha.  But they hardly took the big steps forward that are urgently needed. This kind of reflection, of incremental progress in political terms, but falling far short of what is needed, has now been the my sense for several years running. Also similar to past meetings, COP18 and CMP8 ran over time, as did Copenhagen, Cancun and Durban.  The heart… Read moreDoha: Vague words & fuzzy numbers

Australia’s -0.5% commitment

Australia made one of the few major moves in Doha – well, if you consider 5% or 0.5% “major”. Numbers aside, joining the EU with a commitment (QELRO in climate-speak) for the next period was a welcome move. That the reduction is 0.5% below 1990 levels, is what raised some queries nonetheless (for a funny take on -0.5%, watch this video by climate activists).. And that it is with existing land use rules and carrying over units. The -0.5% is… Read moreAustralia’s -0.5% commitment

Communities learning about possible and desirable futures

“Future subjunctive” is one of the best articles (ref below) I have read in years. It’s about backcasting as social learning. For John Robinson, backcasting the future emerges from process, which communities learn about possible and desirable futures. Sound familiar? It seems to me that this Canadian researcher has discovered very similar things as we have in LTMS / MAPS. And he has articulated the theory more elegantly.  He outlines how the division between traditionally qualitative scenarios  and quantitative forecasting is… Read moreCommunities learning about possible and desirable futures